Identifying Robust Cloud Feedbacks in Observations and Models

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Research Highlights

2023

Zhou, C., M. Wang, M. D. Zelinka, Y. Liu, Y. Dong, and K. C. Armour. 2023: Explaining Forcing Efficacy With Pattern Effect And State Dependence

2022

Qin, Y., M. D. Zelinka, and S. A. Klein, 2022: Estimate Coupled Cloud Feedbacks from Inexpensive Short-Term Atmosphere-Only Simulations
Samset, B. H., C. Zhou, J. S. Fuglestvedt, M. T. Lund, J. Marotzke, and M. D. Zelinka, 2022: Speeding up Detection of Climate Response to Emission Reductions
Thackeray, C. W., A. Hall, J. Norris, and D. Chen, 2022: Constraining The Increased Frequency Of Global Precipitation Extremes Under Warming
Zelinka, M. D., S. A. Klein, Y. Qin, and T. A. Myers, 2022: Evaluating Climate Models’ Cloud Feedbacks Against Expert Judgment
Zelinka, M. D., I. Tan, L. Oreopoulos, G. Tselioudis, 2022: Detailing Cloud Property Feedbacks with a Regime-Based Decomposition

2021

Chen, D., J. Norris, N. Goldenson, C. Thackeray, and A. Hall, 2021: A distinct atmospheric mode for California precipitation
Hahn, L., K. Armour, M. D. Zelinka, C. Bitz, and A. Donohoe, 2021: Causes of Polar Amplification in Earth System Models
Myers, T. A., R. C. Scott, M. D. Zelinka, S. A. Klein, J. R. Norris, and P. M. Caldwell, 2021: Observational Constraints on Low Cloud Feedback Reduce Uncertainty of Climate Sensitivity
Norris, J., A. Hall, J. D. Neelin, C. W. Thackeray, & D. Chen, 2021: Climate Models Simulate Extreme Precipitation With Sharply Contrasting Physical Mechanisms
Norris, J, A Hall, D Chen, C Thackeray, and G Madakumbura, 2021: Climate Models Underestimate Diversity of Synoptic Conditions Associated With Extreme Precipitation Over California
Pihl, E., et al. including M. D. Zelinka, 2021: New Insights in Climate Science in 2020
Thackeray, C. W., A. Hall, M. D. Zelinka, and C. G. Fletcher, 2021: Assessing Prior Emergent Constraints on Surface Albedo Feedback in the Latest Earth System Models
Williamson, M. S., C. W. Thackeray, P. M. Cox, A. Hall, C. Huntingford, and F. J. Nijsse, 2021: Emergent Constraints on Climate Sensitivities
Zhou, C., M. D. Zelinka, A. Dessler, and M. Wang, 2021: Greater Committed Warming After Accounting for the Pattern Effect

2020

Bretherton, C. and P. Caldwell, 2020: Uncertainty in Future Warming is Reduced by Combining Emergent Constraints
Dong, Y. K. C. Armour, M. D. Zelinka, C. Proistosescu, D. S. Battisti, C. Zhou, and T. Andrews, 2020: On the Evolution of Climate Feedbacks and Implied Climate Sensitivity Over Time in Earth System Model Simulations
Scott, R. C., T. A. Myers, J. R. Norris, M. D. Zelinka, S. A. Klein, M. Sun, and D. R. Doelling, 2020: Observed Sensitivity of Low Cloud Radiative Effects to Meteorological Perturbations over the Global Oceans
Sherwood, S. C., et al. including S. A. Klein and M. D. Zelinka, 2020: International Analysis Narrows Range of Climate’s Sensitivity to CO2
Zelinka, M. D., T. A. Myers, D. T. McCoy, S. Po-Chedley, P. M. Caldwell, P. Ceppi, S. A. Klein, and K. E. Taylor, 2020: Latest Earth System Models Predict More Global Warming than their Predecessors
Zhou, C., J. Lu, Y. Hu, and M.D. Zelinka, 2020: Hadley Circulation Changes Depend on Surface Temperature Anomaly Patterns

2019

Caldwell, P. M., M. D. Zelinka, and S. A. Klein, 2019: Evaluation of Proposed Emergent Constraints on Climate Sensitivity
Chen, Y., Y. Hwang, M.D. Zelinka, and C. Zhou, 2019: Separating Natural From Externally-Forced Contributions to Observed Cloud Cover Trends
Hall, A., P. Cox, C. Huntingford, and S. A. Klein, 2019: Progressing Emergent Constraints on Future Climate Change
Terai, C., Y. Zhang, S. Klein, M. Zelinka, C. Chiu, and Q. Min, 2019: Using Ground-Based Observations to Understand How Low Cloud Reflectivity Responds to Warming

2018

Qu, X., A. Hall, A. M. DeAngelis, M. D. Zelinka, S. A. Klein, H. Su, B. Tian, and C. Zhai, 2018: The Emergent Constraints of Climate Sensitivity are Linked to Shortwave Cloud Feedback
Zelinka, M., K. Grise, S. Klein, C. Zhou, A. DeAngelis, and M. Christensen, 2018: Drivers of Low Cloud Responses to Poleward Jet Shifts in Observations & Models

2017

Ceppi, P., F. Brient, M. D. Zelinka, and D. L. Hartmann, 2017: Review of Cloud Feedbacks in Climate Models
DeAngelis, A. M., X. Qu, and A. Hall, 2017: Model Spread in the Fast Response of Global Precipitation
Klein, S. A., A. Hall, J. R. Norris, and R. Pincus, 2017: Observations Indicate that the Low-Cloud Feedback is Positive
Zelinka, M. D., Randall, D. A., Webb, M. J., & Klein, S. A., 2017:Clearing Clouds of Uncertainty
Zhou, C., M. D. Zelinka, and S. A. Klein, 2017: Dependence of Cloud Feedback on the Spatial Pattern of Sea Surface Warming

2016

Caldwell, P. M., M. D. Zelinka, K. E. Taylor, and K. Marvel, 2016: Why Do Models Disagree?
Norris, J. R., R. J. Allen, A. T. Evan, M. D. Zelinka, C. W. O’Dell, and S. A. Klein, 2016: Evidence for climate change in the satellite cloud record
Terai, C. R., S. A. Klein, M. D. Zelinka, 2016: Will Low-level Clouds Reflect More Sunlight with Warming?
Zelinka, M. D., C. Zhou, and S. A. Klein, 2016: Insights from a Refined Decomposition of Cloud Feedbacks
Zhou, C., Zelinka, M. D., and S. A. Klein, 2016: Impact of Decadal Cloud Variations on the Earth’s Energy Budget

2015

Brient, F., T. Schneider, Z. Tan, S. Bony, X. Qu, and A. Hall, 2015: Higher Climate Sensitivity is Linked to Shallower Tropical Clouds
DeAngelis, A. M., X. Qu, M. D. Zelinka, and A. Hall, 2015: An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification
Klein, S. A. and A. Hall, 2015: Do Emergent Constraints Help Predict Future Climate?
Marvel, K., M. D. Zelinka, S. A. Klein, C. Bonfils, P. M. Caldwell, C. Doutriaux, B. D. Santer, and K. E. Taylor, 2015: Identifying the Human Fingerprint in Observed Cloud Trends
Qu, X., A. Hall, S. A. Klein and P. M. Caldwell, 2015: The Tropical Inversion will Strengthen in a Warming Climate
Qu, X., A. Hall, S. A. Klein, and A. M. DeAngelis, 2015: Positive tropical marine low-cloud cover feedback inferred from cloud-controlling factors
Zhou, C., M. D. Zelinka, A. Dessler, and S. A. Klein, 2015: The relationship between inter-annual and long-term cloud feedbacks
Zhou, C., A. E. Dessler, M. D. Zelinka, P. Yang, and T. Wang, 2015: Cirrus Cloud Represent an Important Component of the Cloud Feedback

2014

Caldwell, P. M., C. S. Bretherton, M. D. Zelinka, S. A. Klein, B. D. Santer, & B. M. Sanderson, 2014: Can Data Mining Help Constrain Climate Sensitivity?
Ceppi, P., M. D. Zelinka, and D. L. Hartmann, 2014: The Role of Clouds in Shifting the Mid-Latitude Jet
Gordon, N. D. and S. A. Klein, 2014: Evidence that relationship between low-level cloud reflectivity and temperature in the current climate can predict the climate change response
Johnston, M. S., Eliasson, S., Eriksson, P., Forbes, R. M., Gettelman, A., Raisanen, P., and Zelinka, M. D., 2014: Assessing Model Simulations of Deep Convection: A Novel Compositing Approach
Zelinka, M. D., T. Andrews, P. M. Forster, and K. E. Taylor, 2014: Detailing Aerosol-Cloud-Radiation Interactions using Simple Diagnostics

2013

Johnston M. S., S. Eliasson, P. Eriksson, R. M. Forbes, K. Wyser, and M. D. Zelinka, 2013: A Novel Technique to Diagnose the Spatio-Temporal Impact of Convective Systems
Qu, X., A. Hall, S. A. Klein, and P. M. Caldwell, 2013: Marine Low Cloud Cover is Likely to Decrease in the 21st Century
Grise, K. M., L. M Polvani, G. Tselioudis, Y. Wu, and M. D Zelinka, 2013: Global Warming Caused by the Ozone Hole “Indirect Effect”
Caldwell, P. M., Y. Zhang and S. A. Klein, 2013: Climate Models Slightly Overestimate Global Warming by Underestimating Future Low Cloudiness
Klein, S. A., Y. Zhang, M. D. Zelinka, R. N. Pincus, J. Boyle, and P. J. Gleckler, 2013: Climate Model Simulations of Clouds are Improving
Qu, X. and A. Hall, 2013: The Spread in Snow-Albedo Feedback has not Narrowed in the CMIP5 Ensemble
Zelinka, M. D., S. A. Klein, K. E. Taylor, T. Andrews, M. J. Webb, J. M. Gregory, and P. M. Forster, 2013: Double Trouble: Cloud Feedbacks and Rapid Adjustments To CO2 are Positive in Current GCMs

2012

Zelinka, M. D., S. A. Klein, and D. L. Hartmann, 2012a: A Novel Technique to Diagnose and Partition Cloud Feedbacks
Zelinka, M. D., S. A. Klein, and D. L. Hartmann, 2012b: Illuminating the Processes Contributing to Cloud Feedback