E.M. Volodin and Participating CMIP Modeling Groups, 2003:
Global warming and surface heat balance change for CMIP general circulation modelsSubmitted to Journal of Climate
Abstract
The global warming and the change of surface heat balance in 18 CMIP models are studied. There is strong enough correlation between global warming value and the change of shortwave radiation balance. The connection between the global warming value and the geographical distribution of short wave radiation in the control experiment, and also connection between global warming value and heat flux correction are discussed. These connections are used to estimate the global warming value for the real climate system.Full Text (in PDF format)